Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 50%+1.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
111
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
3 mag 24, 22:57 UTC1 gen 27, 12:59 UTC
Trend
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
FutuurRegole
Other is the "after everything else" option.
- If it gets to more than 50% I'll add an answer.
- I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date in this Wikipedia page:
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war
- [image]Details:
- I will update the link in the event of change in name or split of the article.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)?
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)?
- When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Other is the "after everything else" option.