Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)Politica USAOne-OffGeopoliticaMedio Oriente2m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
December 31 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
December 31 7%In testa tra 8 esiti
December 31 7%Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
230,7 €
Liquidità
17K €
Liquidità mediaOpen interest
21,1K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
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Commenti
357
Variazione 7g
-6.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
9 ott 25, 19:17 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
December 31Persa
January 31Persa
July 31Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
June 30Persa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
March 31, 2026Persa
November 30Persa
October 31Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · December 31
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
FutuurWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Manifold MarketsWill Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
Manifold MarketsWill AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? · December 31 21%
