Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 41.4%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+7.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto22 giu 26, 10:41 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsUkraine to concede formal autonomy to the Donbas region in 2026?
FutuurWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the year (2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, or 2030) in which the Russian Federation establishes complete control over the entire Donbas region.
- If this is not achieved by December 31, 2030, the market will resolve to "Never."
- For the purposes of this market:
- The Donbas region is defined as the combined administrative territories within the official pre-2014 borders of Ukraine's Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast.
- Complete control means Russian military forces (or proxy forces aligned with Russia) exercise physical control over 100% of the land within the administrative borders of both oblasts.