Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war?

Manifold Markets quota No al 62.4% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 62.4%

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binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 5 ore fa

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1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC15 mag 27, 03:59 UTC

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Before February 24th 2022, the administration of the Donbas region was split between the LPR, the DPR, and Ukraine.

Part of the announced goals of the Russian invasion is to gain control of the entire region.
This market resolves to yes if 1) a peace treaty is signed between Ukraine and Russia 2) the treaty requires Ukraine to relinquish control over the entire Donbas region.
Picture for reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donbas#/media/File:Map_of_Donbas_region.svg
(Identical market to: source market)