Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAGI is used in longevity research, but doesn't make significant advances 74.7%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto16 apr 24, 17:26 UTC2 gen 40, 07:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
- I would like to explore whether AGI will have any significant effect on longevity research and if no, then why.
- Here are some definitions of things mentioned in the options:
- AGI — and AI system, capable of autonomously doing any tasks involved in scientific research (since this question is about research)
- Significant advances in longevity — increasing the life-expectancy at birth by at least 2x, to at least 160 years.
- Whether AGI is used in longevity research — yes if some notable papers in the field are fully written by AI or some procedures are fully developed by AI.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota AGI is used in longevity research, but doesn't make significant advances al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: AGI is currently generally expected to appear some time in 2030s: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708