What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffScienzaSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Born in 2030 21.9%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 24, 16:47 UTC1 gen 00, 22:59 UTC
Trend
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Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets quota Born in 2030 al 22% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 3000.
- Come viene liquidato What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.