What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back?
FedOne-OffMacro ed economia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto6 lug 24, 18:53 UTC1 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What's the risk-free interest rate until 2028 on Manifold Markets?
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FutuurUS basic interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurRegole
These markets resolve No on popular market resolution dates, so the percentage of these markets show the opportunity cost of money for markets resolving on those dates.
- There are existing markets for this already, but they were created while Manifold was giving loans for long term markets, which caused interest rates to be much lower.
- And there is no incentive to correct them by buying Yes unless you think other traders will need to liquidate their positions to free up capital, so they do not reflect the current risk-free interest rate.
