What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates??

Manifold Markets quota No al 97.4% al 19 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates??

What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2124.

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Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves NO on January 1st, 2124.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-2.0pt86%
• 25 bps increase+3.0pt14%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 altri esiti

Volume totale

44,5 Mln €

Volume 24h

2,4 Mln €

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

• Fed maintains rate86.5%
• Hike 25bps+1.0pt13.5%
• Hike >25bps0.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+2.0pt76.5%
• No change19.6%
• 50+ bps increase-0.2pt2.9%

+2 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

• 25 bps increase+52.0pt68.7%
• No Change-52.6pt31.3%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in January?

• No change+2.0pt63.7%
• 25 bps increase-1.0pt33.3%
• 25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%

+2 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 altri esiti

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