Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualePermanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank 61.2%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 23, 16:20 UTC28 dic 26, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
Inspired by Scott:
- https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-103023
- "I can’t find any markets on the Middle East topic I’m actually interested in, which is Israel’s medium-term plan.
- Will they the named outcome? the named outcome? the named outcome? These all seem like bad options, but they’re very different bad options, and I haven’t seen much speculation about which is most likely."
- Close date may be extended if it seems like the situation hasn't settled down.
- Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will resolve as 'Permanently occupy Gaza like they're occupying the West Bank' unless the creator is convinced otherwise.
Mercati aperti
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+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
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+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Manifold Markets quota Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank al 61% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired by Scott: