U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
FedOne-OffObbligazioni e titoli di StatoMacro ed economia1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 52.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ott 25, 23:27 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 5% before 2028?
Manifold MarketsU.S. 10 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?
Manifold MarketsDaily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?
Manifold MarketsMortgage delinquency rate exceeds 3% by end of Q4 2027?
PolymarketWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
