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Dati al 24 ott 2026, 13:22 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeObserving a temporary ceasefire with US & Israel 47%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto23 mar 26, 21:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a foreign military strike Iran before Jan 16th [NO], and will the regime fall this year?
Manifold MarketsWill AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich investment will give the best return 1 year after Jan 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
I'll resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, and use my own judgment in the event of ambiguity.
- I may resolve to % if I feel it's appropriate.
- I won't bet.
- Specific rules:
- the named outcome
- By this I mean "strictly more friendly", in the sense that a leader who is roughly "similar" resolves no.