Will the US conduct ground operations in mainland Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
One-OffGeopoliticaMedio Oriente2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.8%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mar 26, 16:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, the United States conducts ground military operations inside mainland Iran.
- “Mainland Iran” excludes offshore islands such as Kharg Island.
- For this market to resolve YES, all of the following must occur:
- At least 100 uniformed members of the United States Armed Forces are physically present on land inside Iranian sovereign territory.
- These personnel are participating in military ground operations (e.g., raids, combat operations, seizures of facilities, or other military activity conducted on the ground).
- The following do not qualify: