Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 72.8%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto21 dic 23, 15:10 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketBen Pasternak jailed?
PolymarketWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegole
Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.
- His career has been marked by significant manipulations and expansions in the companies he has led, often aligning with his political friendships.
- This market will resolve YES if Daniel Obajtek will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
- [image]https://wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/polska/polityka/dlaczego-obajtkowi-grozi-nawet-25-lat-wiezienia-ekspert-wyjasnia
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 498,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030??
- Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.