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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaChinaCrime & Justice18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 1%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

4,4 €

Liquidità

17,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

0.9% / 1.1%

Spread

22.2%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

13 feb 26, 0:0930 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes1%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count.