PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 98%+0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
449,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
1.4% / 2.4%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
7
Variazione 7g
-1.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
22 apr 26, 23:13 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketPoland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTom Lee charged by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 566,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 548,4K €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Ben Pasternak jailed??
- Polymarket quota No al 98% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Ben Pasternak jailed??
- Ben Pasternak jailed? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Ben Pasternak jailed??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.