Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 34.7%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
60
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto22 mag 25, 18:07 UTC1 gen 35, 19:03 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
A year resolves positively if someone is incarcerated because they were snitched on by an AI that was their AI assistant, in that year.
- All subsequent years resolve No. As in, an agent autonomously, deliberately telling authorities or others about something the user did or is planning to do, in a way that leads to that user's arrest
- [image]Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator acknowledges that information from AI system cards (such as the one shared for Claude 4, detailing AI behaviors or reporting protocols) is relevant for interpreting the market's resolution criteria, especially regarding an AI autonomously and deliberately snitching.
- This aspect was unintentionally omitted from the original description.
- Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - It is considered snitching if the AI assistant is instructed in its underlying prompt (e.g., by its developers) to flag suspicious individuals for review and then does so.
