If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 72.8% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI??

If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.

Come viene liquidato If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if humanity gets wiped out due to AI before 2033.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.8pt53.1%
• Gemini-3.5pt34.9%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt7.5%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

13,7 Mln €

Volume 24h

73,2K €

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 450T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.7%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.3pt18.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt16.8%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 altri esiti

Volume totale

898,1K €

Volume 24h

41,7K €

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