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[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
GeopoliticaOne-OffCrime & Justice4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 71.5%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ott 23, 13:36 UTC2 gen 31, 20:00 UTC
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Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- Several resolution criteria for these types of questions have been put forward.
- I prefer the latest offered by Jgalt:
- For the purposes of this question, 'major civil unrest or rioting' is defined as an event of rioting or civil unrest in which any of the following conditions is met:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031??
- [Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2031.
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