Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Yes (94.6%)
Risolto: 12 ott 2026, 13:49
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Yes
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
95%
ConsensoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 13 ott 2026, 00:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes94.6%
No5.400000000000006%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a global internet outage affect at least 25% of internet users for 24 consecutive hours before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Over 99% of the internet across borders travels through undersea fiber optic cables.
- There are about 500 of these cables, and each year about 200 need to be repaired (mostly due to accidents).
- It is trivial for military to deliberately break these cables.
- There are in most cases redundancies, but if enough break there could be massive outages across the internet.
- An outage affecting a single country will be enough for this market to resolve to YES.
- An outage that reduces speeds significantly even though there is still connectivity will resolve to YES.
