KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 21, 2029 21%-2.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
29,3 €
Liquidità
78,5K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
7 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
LimitlessWill Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 21, 2029 al 21% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Will the US acquire any new territory? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US acquire any new territory??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.