Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticaRussia / Ukraine2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 86%
Previsori
59
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto24 dic 24, 23:52 UTC21 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.
- Excludes temporarily occupied territory within the context of an active military conflict.
- Excludes immaterial gains through the redrawing of international waters boundaries or immaterial gains through the redrawing of borders wherein the US also gives up territory.
- I determine materiality.
- The “spirit” of this market is whether Trump will pursue expansionism.
- INCLUDES territory seized with stipulations for relinquishment that include benefits to the US.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term??
- Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.