Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeEnd of 2029 32.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto4 apr 26, 17:00 UTC11 apr 40, 16:33 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsWhere will this paper be accepted? (Black Mirrors:CPT-Symmetric Alternatives to Black Holes by Tzanavaris, Boyle, Turok)
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PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.
- Some physicists claim that the lightlike singularity goes away once accretion is accounted for:
- As long as a black hole continues to accrete, and thereby to generate ingoing and outgoing streams near the inner horizon, the inflationary growth rate remains finite, and there is no null singularity.
- A proposition resolves to Yes, if by that date a publicly available mathematical proof shows that, within the theoretical framework of General Relativity, rotating black holes with accretion do not contain lightlike (null) singularity.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ??
- Manifold Markets quota End of 2029 al 33% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ??
- Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 aprile 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.