Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSome primordial black holes are formed from early-universe density fluctuations (e.g., during inflation). 58.8%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ago 25, 19:25 UTC31 ago 00, 19:15 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsLightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ?
Manifold MarketsAre naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegole
Anyone can add answers.
- An answer resolves when there is widespread scientific consensus about it.
- By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., what counts as "widespread scientific consensus").
- When in doubt, ask before trading.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What is true about primordial black holes??
- Manifold Markets quota Some primordial black holes are formed from early-universe density fluctuations (e.g., during inflation). al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What is true about primordial black holes??
- What is true about primordial black holes? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 3000.
- Come viene liquidato What is true about primordial black holes??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Anyone can add answers.