Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Is string theory dead??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 65.4% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Is string theory dead??

Is string theory dead? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 settembre 2075.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 65.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 11 ore fa

Obsoleto

1 set 25, 21:46 UTC1 set 75, 21:26 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Are the most influential results in string theory already produced in the past, or are there bigger discoveries to come?

This market resolves to "Yes", if the most cited paper in string theory on 2075-09-01 is already present today (2025-09-01).
Otherwise it resolves to "No".
Only papers reporting original results will be considered.
Review papers are excluded.
By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., whether a paper is in string theory).