If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
One-OffIATecnologiaScienza2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 69%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto2 feb 25, 13:28 UTC1 gen 29, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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See https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed and similar questions for AGI.
- The criteria is that one of them will resolve YES.
- I don't see a lot of singularity questions but there is this: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/singularity-by-2030.
- [link preview]
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: See https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed and similar questions for AGI.