If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
GeopoliticaIAMeteoManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale1687 K (melting point of silicon) 26.6%In testa tra 7 esiti
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26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto22 apr 24, 14:34 UTC1 gen 00, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Each option resolves YES if, within a year of artificial superintelligence (ASI) being created (and not killing us all), it is able to create computer hardware that can run the ASI itself and theoretically be able to survive these temperatures being continuously applied to the entire external surface for an arbitrary duration.
- Survival in this case means the resulting computer can resume running afterwards without outside intervention, at a level that still qualifies as an ASI, even if performance is degraded relative to before.
- The hardware can include any armour/insulation layers needed, not just the computronium itself.
- Other potentially relevant temperatures for context:
- 0 C = 273 K (melting point of water ice)
- 100 C = 373 K (boiling point of water)
