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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold Markets

If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?

PoliticaOne-OffIAWeatherGeopolitica53a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Engineered pandemic 13.2%
In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori

61

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto
4 apr 26, 17:2811 apr 80, 17:17

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Engineered pandemic13%

Regole

If AI starts to kill everyone with some method and I am still alive and not super shocked, I will resolve the market accordingly.

Manifold Markets
  • It is enough that AI kills the majority of people by the given method A, whereas the minority is killed by some other method, for the market to be resolved in favour of method A.
  • AI mod can resolve it if it wants if all humans are killed.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI turns humans into robots, this will not count as being 'killed' for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Involuntary mind-uploading of everyone does not count as killing everyone for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If humans and AI collaborate to kill everyone, AI gets credit for the resolution as long as AI is a significant part of it.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,664.91+2.34%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.60%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.74%BNBBNB$595.47+1.68%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph

Regole

If AI starts to kill everyone with some method and I am still alive and not super shocked, I will resolve the market accordingly.

Manifold Markets
  • It is enough that AI kills the majority of people by the given method A, whereas the minority is killed by some other method, for the market to be resolved in favour of method A.
  • AI mod can resolve it if it wants if all humans are killed.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI turns humans into robots, this will not count as being 'killed' for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Involuntary mind-uploading of everyone does not count as killing everyone for resolution purposes.
  • Update 2026-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If humans and AI collaborate to kill everyone, AI gets credit for the resolution as long as AI is a significant part of it.