Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 15:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
0.001M-0.1M 41.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
0.001M-0.1M 41.5%Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto6 giu 24, 08:26 UTC1 gen 40, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Criteria for Resolution:
- Intentional Killing: The deaths must be intentional, to the best of our judgment.
- Incidental or unintended consequences of AI actions, such as side effects from a drug developed by AI, do not qualify.
- Event Definition:
- - The event may have long-lasting effects, but it must originate from a more or less instantaneous and well-defined initial action by the AI.
- - The event can span a longer timeframe if the initial AI action directly leads to the deaths over time (e.g., an AI-initiated blackmailing campaign resulting in deaths occurring up to a year after the initial action).
