If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people??

Manifold Markets quota synthetic bioweapons al 22% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people??

If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2500.

Come viene liquidato If a misaligned ASI kills everyone, how will it kill the last 100k people??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves PROB based on the fraction of the final 100k people alive that are killed through each method.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-5.3pt88.5%
• Anthropic+3.3pt11.5%
• Alibaba0%

+18 altri esiti

Volume totale

3,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

115,5K €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+5.9pt55.8%
• Gemini-5.0pt33%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt29.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.3pt19.2%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt54.1%
• Google-4.0pt37.8%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.1%

+12 altri esiti

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens89%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%
• Above 450T tokens99.5%

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