If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?
One-OffScienzaSociety & Culture13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.7%
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8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto25 apr 26, 11:46 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson??
- If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.