Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeFreezing of Frontline without official negotions 35.4%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto3 set 23, 06:05 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]
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PolymarketWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Update 2025-06-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on whether one side achieves most of its strategic goals, with a huge misalignment in goal achievement required for a "the named outcome" resolution.
- Russia's strategic goals:
- Making Ukraine dependent on Russia (via annexation or political influence).
- Huge territorial gains (the creator will almost certainly resolve to a Russian win if 50% of Ukraine is annexed).
- Recognition of Crimea as Russian.
- Ukraine's strategic goals: