Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.2%
Previsori
100
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 mag 22, 01:21 UTC1 gen 30, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsAfter the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsHow will the war in Ukraine end?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.