Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2 88%In testa tra 4 esiti
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26
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto3 apr 26, 02:11 UTC1 gen 27, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many problems written by me will be on the 2027 OTIS Mock AIME
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KalshiRegole
https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo
- Resolves to the number of distinct problems of the "JMO mock" (which was an april fools joke btw) above that will have at least one 7 point solution submitted to me by December 31st, 2026.
- Any submission is acceptable, including submissions that were not done in time conditions or by someone who would normally be ineligible for any olympiad (eg, someone who is >18 years old).
- Groupsolving is also permitted.
- However, me submitting a solution to my own problem does not count.
- I think MOHS predictions are around 30 45 50 or so, but may be wrong.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota 2 al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026?
- How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://artofproblemsolving.com/community/c5h3808234_mock_jmo