Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale7 10.1%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+5.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto23 mar 26, 18:33 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many problems of my JMO mock will be solved by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsWill at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems
- I will not trade in this market.
- See also this market for EOY2026: https://manifold.markets/bh/how-many-frontiermath-open-problems?r=Ymg
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets quota 7 al 10% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many FrontierMath Open Problems solved by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the number of problems displayed as solved at https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems