Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.6%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto6 apr 26, 06:59 UTC1 gen 31, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReal GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2030?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Mexico's real GDP growth for the full calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.6% or greater by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI).
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The resolution will be based on the official final or revised annual GDP data published by INEGI (https://www.inegi.org.mx/).
- If the official annual report is not available by November 1, 2027, the market will resolve based on the most recent, reputable data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 97,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 702,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 91K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 400K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5K €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,3K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9K €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria