Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55%
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68
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
27 set 23, 04:45 UTC1 gen 40, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2029?
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PolymarketRegole
Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?
- An AI receiving the prompt “Create a complete, high-quality, rogue-like deckbuilding video game set in a dystopian future where humans and robots are at war.” should be able to handle all aspects of game creation from this prompt alone, resulting in a fully functional, high-quality video game.
- Specifications:
- For the purpose of this market:
- AI-Generated Video Game: Refers to a complete and functional video game created by an AI without human intervention in the creative process.
- This includes game design, mechanics, graphics, sound, and coding.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040??
- High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?