Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
> $1 trillion 40.8%In testa tra 9 esiti
> $1 trillion 40.8%Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 25, 18:38 UTC22 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Manifold MarketsDoes an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency.
- The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.
- Prices denominated in USD.
- Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
- (For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)
