Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMedio Oriente4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78%
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18
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binary
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Aggiornato 41 minuti fa
20 mar 26, 23:07 UTC1 gen 31, 00:04 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear bomb and then nukes Israel.
- Both a nuclear first strike and a response to Israeli nuclear weapons use count as yes.
- Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.