Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 62.5%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto
27 set 23, 02:45 UTC2 gen 40, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.
This will be achieved by banning transgender content from media and by general control over information and disinformation.
Any officially recognized transgender people will be managed by coerced interventions, either penal or psychiatric, or possibly alternative therapeutic interventions like behavioral therapies, wilderness retreats etc.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2040.
Come viene liquidato By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.