KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 60% 53%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
17,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 set 26, 17:00 UTC11 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Top Open Source AI this week
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 10, 2026 is above 52%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 11, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 10, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 10, 2026 is above 54%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Open Source market share on Sep 10th?
- Kalshi quota Above 60% al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Open Source market share on Sep 10th?
- Open Source market share on Sep 10th dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Open Source market share on Sep 10th?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 10, 2026 is above 52%, then the market resolves to Yes.