FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
No 95%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
560,1 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
2
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This event predicts whether an open-source artificial intelligence model will rank first on the “Overall” leaderboard of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena at the end of December 31, 2026 (UTC-3).
- For this market, an open-source model means one whose model weights are freely available under a license permitting use, modification, and redistribution.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard.
- If the model holding the number-one position on the LMSYS “Overall” leaderboard at the cutoff time is an open-source model, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Subsequent leaderboard updates after the cutoff will not affect resolution.