KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -0.62 98%+1.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,5K €
Liquidità
13,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
14 set 26, 19:00 UTC30 set 26, 12:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
KalshiCPI-U index in September
KalshiWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 68 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 72 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 76 in September 2026?
ForecastExWhat will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI.
- This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending September 25, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 935,7K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,5 Mln €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Kalshi quota Above -0.62 al 98% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above