KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -0.40 98%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
3,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
14 set 26, 19:00 UTC21 set 26, 12:24 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketUS active housing listings in September
KalshiFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketRegole
If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - CFNAI
- -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.
- This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 935,7K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,5 Mln €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi quota Above -0.40 al 98% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August dovrebbe risolversi il 21 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above