KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 8 set 2026, 21:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 7 19%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
6,4 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:30 UTC15 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- Daily counts will be evaluated from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where N is the number of tied days.
- If Sep 8, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sep 9, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi quota September 7 al 19% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13) dovrebbe risolversi il 15 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Sep 7, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.