KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 11 set 2026, 14:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 1730K 0%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
10 set 26, 17:45 UTC17 set 26, 12:29 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 Mln €
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 100,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,4K €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,3K €
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,3K €
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi quota At least 1730K al 0% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 17 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least