Chainlink

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

5.0 pt (24h)3mois

Chainlink (LINK)

-5.0pt45%

Bitcoin (BTC)

-1.0pt37%

Ethereum (ETH)

-7.0pt35%

+7 résultats de plus

Cryptos liées

BTC

DOGE

LTC

Qualité moyenne (73)Spread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée

Volume total691,3 k $US

Volume 24h3 k $US

KALSHI

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

5.5 pt (24h)3mois

↑ 14

+8.4pt100%

↓ 12

+22.4pt100%

↓ 10

+32.5pt100%

+12 résultats de plus

Cryptos liées

LINK

Faible qualité (40)Spread largeLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution

Volume total50,8 k $US

Volume 24h214,1 $US

POLYMARKET

What price will Chainlink hit in September?

3.5 pt (24h)21j

↑ 12

+48.0pt100%

↑ 14

51%

↓ 10

51%

+9 résultats de plus

Cryptos liées

LINK

Faible qualité (33)Spread largeLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution

Volume total690,9 $US

Volume 24h—

POLYMARKET

Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

64.7%

$10M - $100M

12.6%

$100M - $1B

12.6%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire3 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 17 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Non

86%

Oui

14%

Prévision communautaire12 prévisionnistesType: binary

il y a 17 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?

$10M - $100M

45.4%

Less than $10M or bankrupt

44.5%

$100M - $1B

6.8%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire6 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)

18.9%

Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)

16.2%

Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)

12.6%

+15 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire13 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans

Never

38.6%

2030-2040

20%

2040-2050

10.6%

+8 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

Oui

91.7%

Non

8.3%

Prévision communautaire22 prévisionnistesType: binary

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Russia

29.6%

Malta

9.5%

Iran

+6 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire3 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Days without sunspots in 2026.

3mois

44.6%

27.2%

10.7%

+3 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire3 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 18 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

81%

Discord

73.8%

Twitch

59%

+17 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire13 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 19 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?

Screamin' Jay Hawkins

25.1%

Charlie Chaplin

25.1%

Amelia Earhart

24.6%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire3 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 19 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅

Cristiano Ronaldo

86.2%

Leo Messi

13.8%

Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 20 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026

3mois

https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-the-site-2026-prop-bets

43%

https://manifold.markets/ian/we-sell-2x-the-boosts-if-a-boost-gi

12.1%

https://manifold.markets/Stralor/how-much-mana-revenue-will-manifold

11.8%

Prévision communautaire18 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 20 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will consumer AI be able to read me a book

Before Jan 1, 2029

50%

Before Jan 1, 2028

39%

Before January 1, 2027

37%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire8 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

No Game No Life season 2 release date?

3mois

Never

32.8%

Announced in 2030-2040

29.7%

Announced in 2027-2028

15.6%

+3 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire4 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 58 minutes

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

60%

$10M - $100M

14.3%

$100M - $1B

14.3%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire2 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 2 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

At the end of 2075 which country will have the tallest standing building?

United Arab Emirates

11.7%

United States

11.3%

China

11%

+16 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire23 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 3 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

60%

$10M - $100M

14.3%

$100M - $1B

14.3%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire2 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 5 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will guzey.com have a crypto or cashapp/venmo donate link by EOY2026?

3mois

Non

69.2%

Oui

30.8%

Prévision communautaire2 prévisionnistesType: binary

il y a 5 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Bougainville

33%

Somaliland

18.5%

Kosovo

7.3%

+13 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire41 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 9 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

3mois

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)

31.3%

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN)

25.8%

Google/Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG)

18.3%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 10 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania?

TPBI

70%

Asociatia de Transport Brasov

10%

Primaria Cluj Napoca

10%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire1 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 2 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🎽Which of these sports will be in the Olympics at least once before the end of 2036? [ADD RESPONSES]

10a

Squash

98.9%

Cricket

93.1%

Lacrosse

80.6%

+22 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire39 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 3 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

3mois

National

65.3%

Labour

34.7%

Prévision communautaire7 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 3 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🍔Which of these countries without McDonald's currently will get a location before the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

Belize

50%

Rwanda

41.4%

Bosnia and Herzegovina (reopen)

39.7%

+18 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire14 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 4 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Front-facing portrait, plaid shirt

73.3%

Side profile, plaid shirt

72.1%

Outdoor sweater photo

70.4%

+10 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire13 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 4 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?

Gavin newsom

37.8%

Jb pritzker

37.8%

Pete buttigieg

31%

+10 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire6 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 17 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?

The case settles before a verdict is reached.

51.8%

The case settles for more than $10 million before a verdict is reached.

50.5%

Disney sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

33.1%

+16 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire219 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 5 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists?

23j

Nobody

37.4%

Someone else for less than $25K

36.1%

Manifold

8.8%

+2 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire5 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 17 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will UK job vacancies increase?

September 2026

44%

March 2026

April 2026

+4 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire17 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be appointed as next Ajax manager? (suggest options)

3mois

Paul Simonis

0.2%

Iñigo Pérez

0.2%

Mark van Bommel

0.2%

+5 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire7 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 14 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?

@semioticrivalry

28.8%

@jacksonpolack

@jim

7.6%

+13 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire38 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 19 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which cryptocurrencies will have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

3mois

Bitcoin

94.9%

Tether USDt

93.2%

Ethereum

87.7%

+4 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire17 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 16 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which cryptocurrencies will have obviously failed by the end of 2026? (Add your own)

3mois

LINK - Chainlink

50%

XLM - Stellar

50%

Polkadot

43.1%

+11 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire39 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 13 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

100%

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

100%

Evan permabanned from Manifold

100%

+59 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire252 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)

Wikipedia

94%

Amazon

88.3%

Youtube

85.1%

+47 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire36 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?

3mois

19.6%

14.1%

9.4%

+11 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 15 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)

3mois

AI related

53.8%

LLM related

50%

will be a MC market that allows people to add responses

50%

+5 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire10 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 15 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

3mois

About the same as in 2024

63.5%

Notably more difficult than in 2024

27.7%

Notably easier than in 2024

5.5%

+1 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire68 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 14 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

3mois

Moonshot (Kimi)

100%

Baidu (Ernie)

100%

OpenAI

100%

+14 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire21 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 14 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Tesla Robotaxi Dies

14.8%

Uber Dies

3.8%

Waymo Dies

2.7%

Prévision communautaire24 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 19 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

14a

July 1 2033

55.7%

July 1 2034

55.7%

July 1 2035

50%

+23 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire15 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 21 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

3mois

Anthropic / Claude

100%

Alphabet / Google Deepmind / Gemini

100%

OpenAI / ChatGPT

70%

+7 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire14 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 1 heure

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025

100%

Uncrewed lunar landing in Q1, Q2, or Q3 2027

25.8%

Crewed lunar landing in Q3 or Q4 2028

19.7%

+4 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire33 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 20 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

3mois

40.0% or below?

100%

39.0% or below?

100%

38.0% or below?

100%

+9 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire30 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 17 heures

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Anthropic

29.2%

OpenAI

22.7%

DeepMind

18.8%

+9 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire224 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice

il y a 1 heure

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs Crypto Liés

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in September?

Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Days without sunspots in 2026.

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?

Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅

Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026

When will consumer AI be able to read me a book

No Game No Life season 2 release date?

Exit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?

At the end of 2075 which country will have the tallest standing building?

Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

Will guzey.com have a crypto or cashapp/venmo donate link by EOY2026?

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania?

🎽Which of these sports will be in the Olympics at least once before the end of 2036? [ADD RESPONSES]

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

🍔Which of these countries without McDonald's currently will get a location before the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?

Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?

Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists?

Will UK job vacancies increase?

Who will be appointed as next Ajax manager? (suggest options)

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?

Which cryptocurrencies will have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Which cryptocurrencies will have obviously failed by the end of 2026? (Add your own)

What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?

🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)

How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?

What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

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