Prévision communautaire actuelle
TPBI 70%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 avr. 26, 13:09 UTC31 déc. 29, 14:07 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the entity or metropolitan area that first officially inaugurates and operates a commuter rail (tren metropolitan) service open to the public.
- For the purpose of this market, a "metropolitan train system" is defined as a dedicated passenger rail service operating within a metropolitan area, connecting the city center to suburban or surrounding areas, distinct from existing national long-distance intercity rail services.
- Resolution will be based on the first public announcement of the commencement of regular commercial operations by official municipal, county, or transportation authority press releases.
- In the event that no system is inaugurated by December 31, 2030, or if the projects are officially cancelled, this market may resolve to "Other" or N/A depending on final developments.
- The creator will resolve this market based on official reports from the relevant local authorities (e.g., TPBI for Bucharest-Ilfov, the named outcome, or the City Hall of Cluj-Napoca).
Marchés ouverts
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-5.0pt42%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Ethereum (ETH)-7.0pt35%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 594,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 14+0.5pt51%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 271,2 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101,3 €
- Volume 24h
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania? ?
- Manifold Markets cote TPBI à 70% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria