Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Chainlink Corporate ActionsOne-OffIA Tech5mo

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Moonshot (Kimi) 100%

En tête parmi 17 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes

27 nov. 25, 9:4031 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Safe Superintelligence / SSI17%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Tendance du volume

$1.4k

27 juil.2j de données28 juil.

Marchés Associés

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

31,8 €

OpenAI / ChatGPT: 70%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

35,1 €

Waymo Dies: 2.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

43,9 €

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

59,6 k €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1 k €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

2,2 k €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,313.75-3.04%

SolanaSOL$73.17-4.23%

EthereumETH$1,880.79-3.65%

BNBBNB$566.01-1.32%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.61%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.38%

Actualités Associées

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Règles

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Chainlink Corporate ActionsOne-OffIA Tech5mo

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Moonshot (Kimi) 100%

En tête parmi 17 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes

27 nov. 25, 9:4031 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

Safe Superintelligence / SSI17%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Tendance du volume

$1.4k

27 juil.2j de données28 juil.

Marchés Associés

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

31,8 €

OpenAI / ChatGPT: 70%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

35,1 €

Waymo Dies: 2.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

43,9 €

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

59,6 k €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4,1 k €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

2,2 k €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,313.75-3.04%

SolanaSOL$73.17-4.23%

EthereumETH$1,880.79-3.65%

BNBBNB$566.01-1.32%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.61%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.38%

Actualités Associées

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Règles

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.