Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
ChainlinkOpérations sur titresOne-OffIATech2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleMoonshot (Kimi) 100%En tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 nov. 25, 09:40 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketExit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
- Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
- Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
- Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.
