Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
ChainlinkCorporate ActionsOne-OffIA5moManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 18 juil. 2026, 08:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleOpenAI / ChatGPT 70%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 jours
Obsolète27 nov. 25, 9:4631 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
OpenAI / ChatGPT70%
Tendance du volume
$3616 juil.3j de données18 juil.
Marchés Associés
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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10,2 k €$2.25–$2.5T: 17%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
3,7 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,6 k €↑$1.15T: 25%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- If multiple shared #1 ranks, as has been the case in the past, any of those positions count.
- If there are no longer ranked numbers, only top spot/ELO would count.
- If same ELO, but second spot for some trivial/irrelevant reason, still resolves YES.
- Answer resolves YES immediately when an update has been confirmed, no matter what duration it stays in top.