Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
ChainlinkCorporate ActionsOne-OffIA3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAnthropic / Claude 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète27 nov. 25, 09:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- If multiple shared #1 ranks, as has been the case in the past, any of those positions count.
- If there are no longer ranked numbers, only top spot/ELO would count.
- If same ELO, but second spot for some trivial/irrelevant reason, still resolves YES.
- Answer resolves YES immediately when an update has been confirmed, no matter what duration it stays in top.
Marchés ouverts
Chainlink
KALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 593,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 43 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume total
- 271,5 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 101,4 €
- Volume 24h
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- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
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- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Anthropic / Claude à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.