Probabilité implicite actuelle
None in 2026 70%+4.0%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
984,3 €
Liquidité
41,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
67.0% / 73.0%
Spread
9.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+11.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
13 févr. 26, 21:4931 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Résultat choisi
None in 202670%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
5.0%6mo
-5.0%31%
1%
7%
+5 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total711,8 €
Volume 24h4,9 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.